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LIU's Hornstein Center Poll Shows Partisan Divide on Key Issues

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Brookville, NY (March 8, 2017) – Long Island University’s Hornstein Center for Policy, Polling and Analysis released a new poll with information about the emerging global priorities of American voters.  While the poll showed narrow support for the United Nations and policies that would allow refugees into the United States, there were very sharp partisan divides on both of those questions.  This divide extends into basic questions of national security where Republicans and non-affiliated voters overwhelmingly chose terrorism as the top threat to America’s national security while Democrats chose global climate change.

“When it comes to how Americans view our place in the world and global priorities, we now see many of the same partisan divisions that were once reserved solely for domestic policy,” said LIU Political Science Professor Stanley B. Klein, Director of the Hornstein Center.  “This will create new challenges for policy makers.” 

The poll did find one major area of agreement.  Regardless of partisan affiliation, Americans overwhelmingly agree that our nation’s cyber security is inadequate.  When asked if the United States is adequately equipped to defend itself against foreign and domestic cyber-attacks, just 15% of Americans said “yes,” while 49% said “no” and 36% said “somewhat.”   The 12% of Democrats who believe our cyber defenses are adequate nearly mirrored the 15% of unaffiliated voters and 16% of Republicans who share that belief.

“Americans come together in their belief that our current cyber security is inadequate,” Dr. Klein said.  “The American people overwhelmingly agree that we must do more in this critical area.”

The poll presented a battery of questions covering topics such as global threats, cyber security, immigration and the United Nations. In total 496 Americans 18-80 were surveyed by the poll, which was conducted entirely via SMS text messages and was in the field from February 22nd-28th, 2017.

Respondents were asked to rank threats to national security on a 1-5 scale of most threatening to least threatening.  The options were: Cyber Attacks from Foreign Entities, Global Climate Change, Nuclear Proliferation, Political Instability and Terrorism.  Among those, Terrorism (37% overall), was voted as the most threatening issue- and this trend held true among all demographic groups including age, gender and political affiliation with the lone exception of Democrats, 27% of whom identified Global Climate Change as their top concern.

On the topic of whether “The United States should welcome refugees who are displaced due to war or climate change,” the breakdown was 37% “Always”, 47% “Sometimes” and 16% “Never.”  There was a strong partisan divide on this issue. While 59% of Democrats believe the United States should “always” welcome refugees, just 12% of Republicans felt that way. 

A similar partisan divide was shown when respondents were asked “Do you think the United Nations has a positive impact on global affairs?” Respondents answered in the affirmative by a slim margin, with 42% responding “Yes”, 17% responding “Unsure” and 40% responding “No.”  While 65% of Democrats believe the United Nations has a positive impact on global affairs, just 23% of Republicans agree with that sentiment.

Finally, respondents were asked “Which foreign language would you encourage younger Americans to learn in order to better equip themselves for a global society?” and were given the choices of Arabic, Chinese, French, Hindi, Russian, Spanish or Other. Overwhelmingly, Spanish (43%) and Mandarin (30%) were the most popular choices.

The Steven S. Hornstein Center for Policy, Polling, and Analysis at LIU Post conducts independent, fair and balanced polling, empirical research, and analysis on a wide range of public issues including lifestyle preferences. The Center’s goals include informing the community, public and policy makers about critical issues. Future topics will include but are not limited to foreign policy, education, healthcare and the environment.

Polling Methodology

This Long Island University Steven S. Hornstein Center for Policy, Polling & Analysis poll was conducted February 22nd to February 28th, 2017 entirely by SMS text messages conducted in English to 496 registered voters aged 18-80. Polling data was sorted by age, political affiliation, gender & geographic location in efforts to ensure a nationwide representative sample. This poll has an overall margin of error of +/- 4.4 points. The Steven S. Hornstein Center for Policy, Polling & Analysis is an independent and fully nonpartisan institute directed by Dr. Stanley B. Klein which endeavors to conduct research on a variety of issues affecting the American electorate. Dr. Klein has taught political science for over 50 years at LIU-Post bringing extensive experience in politics, government, and academia to the work done here at the Steven S. Hornstein Center.  For more information, contact jeffrey.guillot@liu.edu.

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About Long Island University (LIU)

LIU is one of the nation’s largest private universities. Since 1926, LIU has provided high quality academic programs taught by world-class faculty.  LIU offers 500 accredited programs to more than 20,000 students and has a network of over 200,000 alumni, including leaders in industries across the globe. Visit liu.edu for more information.



STEVEN S. HORNSTEIN CENTER FOR POLICY, ANALYSIS, AND POLLING at LIU POST

NATIONAL SURVEY RESULTS

Q1: Of the options displayed below, please rank in order from most threatening (1) to least threatening (5) issue to United States national security?

 

% Ranked as #1 Concern

Cyber Attacks from Foreign Entities

 

18%

Global Climate Change

 

18%

Nuclear Proliferation

 

17%

Political Instability

 

11%

Terrorism

TERRORISM AS #1 AMONG DIFFERENT DEMOGRAPHIC GROUPS:

MEN

WOMEN

REPUBLICANS

NO POLITICAL PARTY

 

 

 

37%

 

37%

37%

58%

36%

 

 

Q2 Specific to the topic of cyber security, do you believe that the United States is adequately equipped to defend itself against foreign and domestic cyber-attacks? (OVERALL)

 

%

Yes

 

15%

No

 

49%

Somewhat

 

13%

 

Q2 Specific to the topic of cyber security, do you believe that the United States is adequately equipped to defend itself against foreign and domestic cyber-attacks? (AMONG MEN)

 

%

Yes

 

13%

No

 

49%

Somewhat

 

37%

 

Q2 Specific to the topic of cyber security, do you believe that the United States is adequately equipped to defend itself against foreign and domestic cyber-attacks? (AMONG WOMEN)

 

%

Yes

 

16%

No

 

48%

Somewhat

 

34%

 

Q2 Specific to the topic of cyber security, do you believe that the United States is adequately equipped to defend itself against foreign and domestic cyber-attacks? (AMONG DEMOCRATS)

 

%

Yes

 

12%

No

 

47%

Somewhat

 

33%

 

 

Q2 Specific to the topic of cyber security, do you believe the that the United States is adequately equipped to defend itself against foreign and domestic cyber-attacks? (AMONG REPUBLICANS)

 

%

Yes

 

16%

No

 

50%

Somewhat

 

32%

 

Q2 Specific to the topic of cyber security, do you believe the that the United States is adequately equipped to defend itself against foreign and domestic cyber-attacks? (AMONG NO PARTY AFFILIATION)

 

%

Yes

 

15%

No

 

47%

Somewhat

 

37%

 

 

 

Q3: The United States should welcome refugees who are displaced due to war or climate change (OVERALL)

 

%

Always

 

37%

Sometimes

 

47%

Never

 

16%

 

Q3: The United States should welcome refugees who are displaced due to war or climate change (AMONG MEN)

 

%

Always

 

36%

Sometimes

 

47%

Never

 

16%

 

Q3: The United States should welcome refugees who are displaced due to war or climate change (AMONG WOMEN)

 

%

Always

 

38%

Sometimes

 

15%

Never

 

16%

 

Q3: The United States should welcome refugees who are displaced due to war or climate change (AMONG DEMOCRATS)

 

%

Always

 

59%

Sometimes

 

37%

Never

 

2%

 

 

Q3: The United States should welcome refugees who are displaced due to war or climate change (AMONG REPUBLICANS)

 

%

Always

 

12%

Sometimes

 

59%

Never

 

27%

 

Q3: The United States should welcome refugees who are displaced due to war or climate change (AMONG NO PARTY AFFILIATION)

 

%

Always

 

38%

Sometimes

 

45%

Never

 

16%

 

 

Q4: Do you think United Nations has a positive impact on global affairs? (OVERALL)

 

 

%

Yes

 

42%

No

 

40%

Unsure

 

17%

 

Q4: Do you think United Nations has a positive impact on global affairs? (AMONG MEN)

 

 

%

Yes

 

43%

No

 

38%

Unsure

 

18%

 

Q4: Do you think United Nations has a positive impact on global affairs? (AMONG WOMEN)

 

 

%

Yes

 

40%

No

 

41%

Unsure

 

17%

 

Q4: Do you think United Nations has a positive impact on global affairs? (AMONG DEMOCRATS)

 

 

%

Yes

 

65%

No

 

21%

Unsure

 

13%

 

Q4: Do you think United Nations has a positive impact on global affairs? (AMONG REPUBLICANS)

 

 

%

Yes

 

23%

No

 

56%

Unsure

20%

Q4: Do you think United Nations has a positive impact on global affairs? (AMONG NO PARTY AFFILIATION)

 

 

%

Yes

 

42%

No

 

40%

Unsure

 

17%

 

Q5: Which foreign language would you encourage younger Americans to learn in order to better equip themselves for a global society? (OVERALL)

 

%

Arabic

8%

French

2%

Hindi

1%

Mandarin- Chinese

30%

Russian

2%

Spanish

43%

Other

13%

Posted 03/08/2017

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